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p. 423. Analysing risklocked

  • Baruch Fischhoff
  •  and John Kadvany


‘Analysing risk’ shows how risk analysts measure risks and determine their sources. This involves observing a situation, then using scientific knowledge to extrapolate these observations to unknown or future situations. In complex situations this involves computer modelling of potential scenarios. Risk analysts attempt to find sources of risk and track their pathways through a scenario, and point out any points where interventions could be made to prevent harm occurring. Risk analysis relies on expert judgement to make sense of the analysis and inform decision making, but this can be a source of error.

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