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10. Applied chaos: can we see through our models?

10. Applied chaos: can we see through our models?  

Leonard A. Smith

in Chaos: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
Feb 2007
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191776410
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780192853783.003.0010
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780192853783
‘Applied chaos: can we see through our models?’ investigates the application of chaotic models. Traditional statistics has exploited data-based models, such as the persistence, advective, ... More
9. Predictability: does chaos constrain our forecasts?

9. Predictability: does chaos constrain our forecasts?  

Leonard A. Smith

in Chaos: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
Feb 2007
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191776410
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780192853783.003.0009
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780192853783
‘Probability: does chaos constrain our forecast?’ explores the accuracy of forecasting. Prediction allows us to examine the link between our models and the real world. However, forecasts ... More
8. Sorry, wrong number: statistics and chaos

8. Sorry, wrong number: statistics and chaos  

Leonard A. Smith

in Chaos: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
Feb 2007
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191776410
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780192853783.003.0008
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780192853783
‘Sorry, wrong number: statistics and chaos’ investigates the challenges posed by chaos to statistical estimation. Samples cannot be used in chaos theory as they are in statistics. Many ... More
5. Risk perception

5. Risk perception  

Baruch Fischhoff and John Kadvany

in Risk: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
May 2011
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191777714
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780199576203.003.0006
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780199576203
‘Risk perception’ examines how people understand risk, and how this understanding influences decision-making. Effectively making a risk decision requires an individual to have an ... More
2. Simple descriptions

2. Simple descriptions  

David J. Hand

in Statistics: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
Oct 2008
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191777097
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780199233564.003.0002
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780199233564
‘Simple descriptions’ outlines the basic tools available to statisticians. Data describe the universe we wish to study, but it can never be an exhaustive description of our subject. It is ... More
3. Chaos in context: determinism, randomness, and noise

3. Chaos in context: determinism, randomness, and noise  

Leonard A. Smith

in Chaos: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
Feb 2007
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191776410
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780192853783.003.0003
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780192853783
‘Chaos in context: determinism, randomness, and noise’ explores the concepts of determinism in dynamical systems. There are at least three different kinds of dynamical systems: ... More
Chaos: A Very Short Introduction

Chaos: A Very Short Introduction  

Leonard Smith

Print Publication Year: 
Feb 2007
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191776410
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780192853783.001.0001
Item type: 
book
ISBN: 
9780192853783
Chaos: A Very Short Introduction shows that we all have an intuitive understanding of chaotic systems. It uses accessible maths and physics (replacing complex equations with ... More
1. The emergence of chaos

1. The emergence of chaos  

Leonard A. Smith

in Chaos: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
Feb 2007
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191776410
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780192853783.003.0001
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780192853783
‘The emergence of chaos’ explores the development of the study of chaos. Chaos is the mechanism which allows the rapid growth of uncertainty in mathematical models. Mathematical chaos is ... More
Introduction: The man and economist

Introduction: The man and economist  

Robert Skidelsky

in Keynes: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
Oct 2010
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191778032
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780199591640.003.0001
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780199591640
What was Keynes's most fundamental idea? The Introduction gives an overview of one of the most well-known economic thinkers of the twentieth century by looking at what others thought of his ... More
3. The origins of public health into the 1700s

3. The origins of public health into the 1700s  

Virginia Berridge

in Public Health: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
Jul 2016
Published Online: 
Jul 2016
eISBN: 
9780191785481
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780199688463.003.0003
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780199688463
Public health cannot be understood without a knowledge of its history. ‘The origins of public health into the 1700s’ considers the earliest roots of public health, 4,000 years ago in ... More
3. Analysing risk

3. Analysing risk  

Baruch Fischhoff and John Kadvany

in Risk: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
May 2011
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191777714
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780199576203.003.0004
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780199576203
‘Analysing risk’ shows how risk analysts measure risks and determine their sources. This involves observing a situation, then using scientific knowledge to extrapolate these observations to ... More
Statistics: A Very Short Introduction

Statistics: A Very Short Introduction  

David J. Hand

Print Publication Year: 
Oct 2008
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191777097
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780199233564.001.0001
Item type: 
book
ISBN: 
9780199233564
Statistics: A Very Short Introduction describes a field very different from the dry and dusty discipline of the popular imagination. In its place is an exciting subject which ... More
1. Surrounded by statistics

1. Surrounded by statistics  

David J. Hand

in Statistics: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
Oct 2008
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191777097
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780199233564.003.0001
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780199233564
‘Surrounded by statistics’ charts the revolution of statistics from a dry, Victorian discipline to a high-tech field which pervades nearly all aspects of life. Many definitions of ... More
4. Further developments

4. Further developments  

John Polkinghorne

in Quantum Theory: A Very Short Introduction

Print Publication Year: 
May 2002
Published Online: 
Sep 2013
eISBN: 
9780191775598
DOI: 
10.1093/actrade/9780192802521.003.0004
Item type: 
chapter
ISBN: 
9780192802521
‘Further developments’ outlines some of the insights provided during the long developmental period after the mid-1920s in which the implications of quantum theory were explored and ... More

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